Bel Aire, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Bel Aire KS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Bel Aire KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Wichita KS |
Updated: 11:13 am CDT Jul 16, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Sunny
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms
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Thursday
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Thursday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny
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Friday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Saturday
 Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Hot
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Hi 94 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 96 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 97 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
This Afternoon
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Sunny, with a high near 94. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Tonight
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 70. South wind 7 to 11 mph becoming north after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. East northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East northeast wind around 7 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 74. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 96. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. |
Sunday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 97. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 76. |
Monday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 77. |
Tuesday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Bel Aire KS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
648
FXUS63 KICT 161729
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1229 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widely scattered afternoon and overnight storms are expected along
a southward sagging cold front.
- A brief cooldown on Thursday with continued chances for showers
and storms.
- Becoming hot and humid as we move into the weekend continuing
into next week!
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 241 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
A complex of showers and storms over Nebraska diving into northeast
KS will send an outflow boundary into central KS but the effective
front is expected to remain north of the area until the early
afternoon hours when it is progged to sink slowly southward
along the I-70 corridor. Another hot day is expected with highs
topping out in the 95-100 degree range.
This front will become a focus for showers and storms, especially
after 3-4 pm along the I-70 corridor. This activity will be fighting
warm mid-lvl temperatures with southward extend possibly limiting
storm coverage as we move into the evening and overnight hours. As
the LLJ develops this evening we may see better coverage along and
north of the frontal boundary but there remains some uncertainty
when it comes to areal coverage of storms.
A moist and uncapped airmass is progged to linger over parts of the
area on Thursday as the frontal boundary meanders across southern
Kansas. There remains some uncertainty in how far south the frontal
boundary surges. Given the capping concerns, a lack of storms could
allow the front to hang further north in southern KS on Thu leading
to better opportunities for deep moist convection on Thursday
afternoon, however more robust coverage of storms tonight could
drive the effective front further south, limiting storms chances on
Thu.
The mid/upper ridge over the Lower Mississippi Valley area is
progged to amplify on Fri while retrograding over the Southern
Plains. This should result in rising heights/increasing thickness
and rising temperatures as we move through the weekend and into
early next week. We continue to see more subtle shortwave troughs
rotating around the subtropical ridge keeping some low pops in the
forecast through the weekend, mostly across portions of our central
KS counties. As we move towards the middle of the week, the pattern
becomes increasingly favorable for excessive heat over the Central
Plains.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
VFR conditions are expected for the entire area this afternoon
prior to a slowly moving cold front approaching from the
northwest. Models suggest thunderstorm development along the
front late this afternoon or early evening in central Kansas
with storms then impacting all sites overnight as the cold front
slowly moves southeast although confidence is not high regarding
this scenario. Southerly winds will be gusty but not overly
strong and will gradually shift to the northeast behind the
front.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...SGS
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