Bel Aire, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

859
FXUS63 KICT 022007
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
207 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Overall fairly quiet weather expected the next several days
  with no major storm systems on the horizon.

- Chance for light rain/snow mix Tuesday night, but little to
  no accumulation expected.

- Somewhat cooler Tuesday and Wednesday, with mostly above
  average temperatures thereafter.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

PRECIPITATION:

A pair of shortwaves embedded within a digging central and eastern
CONUS longwave trough should support scattered light precipitation
Tuesday night into early Wednesday, with the brunt of guidance
favoring locations generally along/west of Interstate 135. Thermal
profiles from model soundings support a light rain/snow mix, with
low level wet bulb temperatures in the 30-35 degree range. This is
not expected to be a big event by any means given rather weak lift,
with the worst case scenario supporting only a dusting of slushy
snow accumulation in spots.

Otherwise, building high pressure will support a long stretch of dry
weather Wednesday through the weekend. Thereafter, deterministic
consensus supports the potential for increasing rain chances early
to mid next week, as a "lead" upper trough moves over Mid-America,
with another deeper western CONUS troughing digging on its heels.
Still lots of uncertainty this far out with model changes likely, so
stay tuned.

TEMPERATURES:

An upper shortwave and an associated weak cold front passing through
the region will support temperatures a bit cooler Tuesday and
Wednesday, but still plus/minus 5 degrees either side of normal for
most locations. Thereafter from Wednesday through well into next
week, deterministic and ensemble consensus supports mostly above
average temperatures across the region, as heights/thickness
increase across the Heartland. High temperatures this Thursday and
Friday will likely reach the 60s, especially over southern and
western Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Similar to last night and early this morning, thinking model
output is overdoing fog potential tonight and early Tuesday, so
did not include in the 18z routine TAFs. Otherwise, a weak cold
front will pass south through the region this evening and
tonight, with modest northerly winds. Additionally, cold
advection may support some MVFR clouds over mainly eastern
Kansas by Tuesday morning, impacting mainly the CNU TAF site.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...ADK